rbs201108056k6.htm
 
FORM 6-K
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington D.C. 20549

 
 
Report of Foreign Private Issuer
 
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
For August 5, 2011
 
Commission File Number: 001-10306

 
The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc

 
RBS, Gogarburn, PO Box 1000
Edinburgh EH12 1HQ

 
(Address of principal executive offices)
 
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
 
Form 20-F X
 
Form 40-F ___
 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1):_________

 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7):_________


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.


Yes
  ___
No X
 
 
If "Yes" is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82- ________

 

 
The following information was issued as a Company announcement in London, England and is furnished pursuant to General Instruction B to the General Instructions to Form 6-K:

 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk
Credit risk is the risk of financial loss due to the failure of customers or counterparties to meet payment obligations. The quantum and nature of credit risk assumed across the Group's different businesses varies considerably, while the overall credit risk outcome usually exhibits a high degree of correlation with the macroeconomic environment.
 
Loans and advances to customers by industry and geography
The table below shows loans and advances to customers excluding reverse repos and assets of disposal groups.
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 March 2011
 
31 December 2010
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
Central and local government
6,574 
1,507 
8,081 
 
5,650 
1,514 
7,164 
 
6,781 
1,671 
8,452 
Finance
47,545 
5,038 
52,583 
 
47,797 
7,559 
55,356 
 
46,910 
7,651 
54,561 
Residential mortgages
144,400 
5,509 
149,909 
 
142,920 
5,678 
148,598 
 
140,359 
6,142 
146,501 
Personal lending
32,224 
3,229 
35,453 
 
32,362 
3,482 
35,844 
 
33,581 
3,891 
37,472 
Property
44,539 
42,862 
87,401 
 
45,038 
43,866 
88,904 
 
42,455 
47,651 
90,106 
Construction
8,525 
3,070 
11,595 
 
9,011 
3,231 
12,242 
 
8,680 
3,352 
12,032 
Manufacturing
24,068 
6,293 
30,361 
 
24,621 
6,295 
30,916 
 
25,797 
6,520 
32,317 
Service industries and
  business activities
                     
  - retail, wholesale and repairs
22,123 
2,598 
24,721 
 
22,185 
2,802 
24,987 
 
21,974 
3,191 
25,165 
  - transport and storage
15,243 
6,449 
21,692 
 
15,402 
7,090 
22,492 
 
15,946 
8,195 
24,141 
  - health, education and
    recreation
16,707 
1,547 
18,254 
 
16,391 
1,460 
17,851 
 
17,456 
1,865 
19,321 
  - hotels and restaurants
8,028 
1,452 
9,480 
 
8,090 
1,452 
9,542 
 
8,189 
1,492 
9,681 
  - utilities
7,487 
2,010 
9,497 
 
7,679 
2,016 
9,695 
 
7,098 
2,110 
9,208 
  - other
25,128 
4,966 
30,094 
 
22,876 
5,892 
28,768 
 
24,464 
5,530 
29,994 
Agriculture, forestry and
  fishing
3,791 
123 
3,914 
 
3,741 
130 
3,871 
 
3,758 
135 
3,893 
Finance leases and
  instalment credit
8,353 
7,920 
16,273 
 
8,061 
8,119 
16,180 
 
8,321 
8,529 
16,850 
Interest accruals
715 
176 
891 
 
673 
193 
866 
 
831 
278 
1,109 
                       
Gross loans
415,450 
94,749 
510,199 
 
412,497 
100,779 
513,276 
 
412,600 
108,203 
520,803 
Loan impairment provisions
(8,621)
(12,006)
(20,627)
 
(8,287)
(10,841)
(19,128)
 
(7,740)
(10,315)
(18,055)
                       
Net loans
406,829 
82,743 
489,572 
 
404,210 
89,938 
494,148 
 
404,860 
97,888 
502,748 
 
 
Key points
·
Gross loans reduced by £10.6 billion in the first half of the year, of which £3.1 billion was in the second quarter, principally due to disposals and restructuring and run-offs in Non-Core, partially offset by increased mortgage lending in UK Retail.
   
·
Unsecured lending decreased in the first half of the year, predominantly in UK Retail.
   
·
Property lending decreased during the first half of the year in line with the continued focus on lower risk secured lending.
   
·
The decrease in transport and storage primarily reflects decreases in shipping and aviation.
 
 
 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Risk management: Credit risk (continued)
 
Loans and advances to customers by industry and geography (continued)
The table below analyses loans and advances to customers excluding reverse repos and assets of disposal groups by geography (by location of office).
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 March 2011
 
31 December 2010
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
UK
                     
Central and local government
5,945 
91 
6,036 
 
5,144 
104 
5,248 
 
5,728 
173 
5,901 
Finance
28,657 
3,734 
32,391 
 
27,510 
5,910 
33,420 
 
27,995 
6,023 
34,018 
Residential mortgages
103,689 
1,570 
105,259 
 
102,462 
1,632 
104,094 
 
99,928 
1,665 
101,593 
Personal lending
22,205 
358 
22,563 
 
22,278 
451 
22,729 
 
23,035 
585 
23,620 
Property
36,584 
27,182 
63,766 
 
36,419 
28,322 
64,741 
 
34,970 
30,492 
65,462 
Construction
6,839 
2,104 
8,943 
 
7,271 
2,282 
9,553 
 
7,041 
2,310 
9,351 
Manufacturing
10,155 
1,447 
11,602 
 
10,810 
1,498 
12,308 
 
12,300 
1,510 
13,810 
Service industries and
  business activities
                     
  - retail, wholesale and repairs
12,255 
1,615 
13,870 
 
12,762 
1,676 
14,438 
 
12,554 
1,853 
14,407 
  - transport and storage
7,905 
3,844 
11,749 
 
8,354 
4,390 
12,744 
 
8,105 
5,015 
13,120 
  - health, education and
    recreation
12,678 
835 
13,513 
 
12,572 
951 
13,523 
 
13,502 
1,039 
14,541 
  - hotels and restaurants
6,399 
775 
7,174 
 
6,500 
792 
7,292 
 
6,558 
808 
7,366 
  - utilities
3,418 
908 
4,326 
 
3,705 
1,088 
4,793 
 
3,101 
1,035 
4,136 
  - other
13,555 
2,199 
15,754 
 
13,406 
2,603 
16,009 
 
14,445 
1,991 
16,436 
Agriculture, forestry and
  fishing
2,955 
55 
3,010 
 
2,935 
61 
2,996 
 
2,872 
67 
2,939 
Finance leases and
  instalment credit
5,578 
7,161 
12,739 
 
5,565 
7,431 
12,996 
 
5,589 
7,785 
13,374 
Interest accruals
365 
21 
386 
 
371 
48 
419 
 
415 
98 
513 
                       
 
279,182 
53,899 
333,081 
 
278,064 
59,239 
337,303 
 
278,138 
62,449 
340,587 
                       
Europe
                     
Central and local government
397 
862 
1,259 
 
220 
899 
1,119 
 
365 
1,017 
1,382 
Finance
2,642 
719 
3,361 
 
3,768 
821 
4,589 
 
2,642 
1,019 
3,661 
Residential mortgages
20,224 
640 
20,864 
 
19,892 
684 
20,576 
 
19,473 
621 
20,094 
Personal lending
2,234 
572 
2,806 
 
2,276 
587 
2,863 
 
2,270 
600 
2,870 
Property
5,483 
12,790 
18,273 
 
5,304 
12,711 
18,015 
 
5,139 
12,636 
17,775 
Construction
1,163 
864 
2,027 
 
1,246 
851 
2,097 
 
1,014 
873 
1,887 
Manufacturing
5,669 
4,253 
9,922 
 
6,167 
4,139 
10,306 
 
5,853 
4,181 
10,034 
Service industries and
  business activities
                     
  - retail, wholesale and repairs
4,058 
767 
4,825 
 
4,074 
847 
4,921 
 
4,126 
999 
5,125 
  - transport and storage
5,330 
970 
6,300 
 
4,932 
1,013 
5,945 
 
5,625 
1,369 
6,994 
  - health, education and
    recreation
1,373 
445 
1,818 
 
1,383 
355 
1,738 
 
1,442 
496 
1,938 
  - hotels and restaurants
1,065 
597 
1,662 
 
1,051 
556 
1,607 
 
1,055 
535 
1,590 
  - utilities
1,536 
654 
2,190 
 
1,425 
591 
2,016 
 
1,412 
623 
2,035 
  - other
4,807 
1,850 
6,657 
 
3,246 
2,286 
5,532 
 
3,877 
2,050 
5,927 
Agriculture, forestry and
  fishing
789 
68 
857 
 
774 
69 
843 
 
849 
68 
917 
Finance leases and
  instalment credit
264 
620 
884 
 
265 
688 
953 
 
370 
744 
1,114 
Interest accruals
135 
98 
233 
 
76 
85 
161 
 
143 
101 
244 
                       
 
57,169 
26,769 
83,938 
 
56,099 
27,182 
83,281 
 
55,655 
27,932 
83,587 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk (continued)
 
Loans and advances to customers by industry and geography (continued)
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 March 2011
 
31 December 2010
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
US
                     
Central and local government
164 
15 
179 
 
169 
38 
207 
 
263 
53 
316 
Finance
9,820 
444 
10,264 
 
9,635 
495 
10,130 
 
9,522 
587 
10,109 
Residential mortgages
20,020 
3,093 
23,113 
 
20,084 
3,243 
23,327 
 
20,548 
3,653 
24,201 
Personal lending
6,315 
2,299 
8,614 
 
6,327 
2,444 
8,771 
 
6,816 
2,704 
9,520 
Property
2,228 
1,626 
3,854 
 
2,574 
1,768 
4,342 
 
1,611 
3,318 
4,929 
Construction
445 
68 
513 
 
420 
63 
483 
 
442 
78 
520 
Manufacturing
6,113 
64 
6,177 
 
5,614 
80 
5,694 
 
5,459 
143 
5,602 
Service industries and
  business activities
                     
  - retail, wholesale and repairs
4,644 
144 
4,788 
 
4,366 
199 
4,565 
 
4,264 
237 
4,501 
  - transport and storage
1,725 
1,297 
3,022 
 
1,723 
1,337 
3,060 
 
1,786 
1,408 
3,194 
  - health, education and
    recreation
2,396 
107 
2,503 
 
2,319 
138 
2,457 
 
2,380 
313 
2,693 
  - hotels and restaurants
455 
71 
526 
 
487 
90 
577 
 
486 
136 
622 
  - utilities
960 
27 
987 
 
1,001 
32 
1,033 
 
1,117 
53 
1,170 
  - other
4,195 
425 
4,620 
 
3,809 
465 
4,274 
 
4,042 
577 
4,619 
Agriculture, forestry and
  fishing
25 
25 
 
26 
26 
 
31 
31 
Finance leases and
  instalment credit
2,456 
2,456 
 
2,188 
2,188 
 
2,315 
2,315 
Interest accruals
179 
57 
236 
 
179 
59 
238 
 
183 
73 
256 
                       
 
62,140 
9,737 
71,877 
 
60,921 
10,451 
71,372 
 
61,265 
13,333 
74,598 
                       
RoW
                     
Central and local government
68 
539 
607 
 
117 
473 
590 
 
425 
428 
853 
Finance
6,426 
141 
6,567 
 
6,884 
333 
7,217 
 
6,751 
22 
6,773 
Residential mortgages
467 
206 
673 
 
482 
119 
601 
 
410 
203 
613 
Personal lending
1,470 
1,470 
 
1,481 
1,481 
 
1,460 
1,462 
Property
244 
1,264 
1,508 
 
741 
1,065 
1,806 
 
735 
1,205 
1,940 
Construction
78 
34 
112 
 
74 
35 
109 
 
183 
91 
274 
Manufacturing
2,131 
529 
2,660 
 
2,030 
578 
2,608 
 
2,185 
686 
2,871 
Service industries and
  business activities
                     
  - retail, wholesale and repairs
1,166 
72 
1,238 
 
983 
80 
1,063 
 
1,030 
102 
1,132 
  - transport and storage
283 
338 
621 
 
393 
350 
743 
 
430 
403 
833 
  - health, education and
    recreation
260 
160 
420 
 
117 
16 
133 
 
132 
17 
149 
  - hotels and restaurants
109 
118 
 
52 
14 
66 
 
90 
13 
103 
  - utilities
1,573 
421 
1,994 
 
1,548 
305 
1,853 
 
1,468 
399 
1,867 
  - other
2,571 
492 
3,063 
 
2,415 
538 
2,953 
 
2,100 
912 
3,012 
Agriculture, forestry and
  fishing
22 
22 
 
 
Finance leases and
  instalment credit
55 
139 
194 
 
43 
43 
 
47 
47 
Interest accruals
36 
36 
 
47 
48 
 
90 
96 
                       
 
16,959 
4,344 
21,303 
 
17,413 
3,907 
21,320 
 
17,542 
4,489 
22,031 
 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: REIL and PPL
 
The table below analyses the Group's risk elements in lending (REIL) and potential problem loans (PPL) and takes no account of the value of any security held which could reduce the eventual loss should it occur, nor of any provisions.
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 March 2011
 
31 December 2010
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
Impaired loans (1)
                     
  - UK
9,229 
7,812 
17,041 
 
9,175 
7,147 
16,322 
 
8,575 
7,835 
16,410 
  - Overseas
6,326 
16,268 
22,594 
 
5,932 
15,878 
21,810 
 
4,936 
14,355 
19,291 
                       
 
15,555 
24,080 
39,635 
 
15,107 
23,025 
38,132 
 
13,511 
22,190 
35,701 
                       
Accruing loans past due
  90 days or more (2)
                     
  - UK
1,487 
583 
2,070 
 
1,545 
752 
2,297 
 
1,434 
939 
2,373 
  - Overseas
415 
230 
645 
 
366 
246 
612 
 
262 
262 
524 
                       
 
1,902 
813 
2,715 
 
1,911 
998 
2,909 
 
1,696 
1,201 
2,897 
                       
Total REIL
17,457 
24,893 
42,350 
 
17,018 
24,023 
41,041 
 
15,207 
23,391 
38,598 
PPL (3)
354 
127 
481 
 
324 
202 
526 
 
473 
160 
633 
                       
Total REIL and PPL
17,811 
25,020 
42,831 
 
17,342 
24,225 
41,567 
 
15,680 
23,551 
39,231 
                       
REIL as a % of gross
  loans and advances (4)
4.2% 
26.1% 
8.3% 
 
4.1% 
23.0% 
7.9% 
 
3.7% 
20.7% 
7.3% 
Provisions as a % of REIL
50% 
48% 
49% 
 
49% 
45% 
47% 
 
51% 
44% 
47% 
 
Notes:
(1)
Loans against which an impairment provision is held.
(2)
Loans where an impairment event has taken place but no impairment provision recognised. This category is used for fully collateralised non-revolving credit facilities.
(3)
Loans for which an impairment event has occurred but no impairment provision is necessary. This category is used for advances and revolving credit facilities where the past due concept is not applicable.
(4)
Gross loans and advances to customers including disposal groups and excluding reverse repurchase agreements.
 
Key points
·        
REIL increased by £3.8 billion in the first half of the year and by £1.3 billion in the second quarter, predominantly in Non-Core and Ulster Bank.
   
·
Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) was the predominant contributor to the increase in REIL with an increase of £3.2 billion, principally property lending (commercial real estate up £2.2 billion and mortgages up £0.4 billion).
   
·
Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) provision coverage ratio increased to 51% from 44% at 31 December 2010 reflecting provisions relating to development land in the second quarter following re-assessment of collateral values. This contributed to the higher Group provision coverage ratio at 30 June 2011, which now stands at 49% compared with 47% at the year end and at 31 March 2011.
 
For sector, geography and divisional analysis of loans, REIL and impairments, refer to Appendix 3.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Loans, REIL and impairment provisions
 
Movement in REIL and PPL
The table below details the movement in REIL and PPL for the half year ended 30 June 2011.
 
 
REIL
 
PPL
 
Total
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
At 1 January 2011
15,207 
23,391 
38,598 
 
473 
160 
633 
 
15,680 
23,551 
39,231 
Intra-group transfers
369 
(369)
 
 
369 
(369)
Currency translation and
  other adjustments
68 
98 
166 
 
 
69 
102 
171 
Additions
3,119 
2,866 
5,985 
 
305 
152 
457 
 
3,424 
3,018 
6,442 
Transfers
137 
39 
176 
 
(137)
(39)
(176)
 
Disposals, restructurings
  and repayments
(1,342)
(1,426)
(2,768)
 
(318)
(75)
(393)
 
(1,660)
(1,501)
(3,161)
Amounts written-off
(540)
(576)
(1,116)
 
 
(540)
(576)
(1,116)
                       
At 31 March 2011
17,018 
24,023 
41,041 
 
324 
202 
526 
 
17,342 
24,225 
41,567 
Intra-group transfers
12 
(12)
 
 
12 
(12)
Currency translation and
  other adjustments
111 
376 
487 
 
(5)
(1)
(6)
 
106 
375 
481 
Additions
2,492 
3,094 
5,586 
 
137 
22 
159 
 
2,629 
3,116 
5,745 
Transfers
21 
20 
41 
 
(21)
(20)
(41)
 
Disposals, restructurings
  and repayments
(1,719)
(2,272)
(3,991)
 
(81)
(76)
(157)
 
(1,800)
(2,348)
(4,148)
Amounts written-off
(478)
(336)
(814)
 
 
(478)
(336)
(814)
                       
At 30 June 2011
17,457 
24,893 
42,350 
 
354 
127 
481 
 
17,811 
25,020 
42,831 
 
 
REIL
 
PPL
 
Total
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
At 1 January 2011
15,207 
23,391 
38,598 
 
473 
160 
633 
 
15,680 
23,551 
39,231 
Intra-group transfers
381 
(381)
 
 
381 
(381)
Currency translation and
  other adjustments
179 
474 
653 
 
(4)
(1)
 
175 
477 
652 
Additions
5,611 
5,960 
11,571 
 
442 
174 
616 
 
6,053 
6,134 
12,187 
Transfers
158 
59 
217 
 
(158)
(59)
(217)
 
Disposals, restructurings
  and repayments
(3,061)
(3,698)
(6,759)
 
(399)
(151)
(550)
 
(3,460)
(3,849)
(7,309)
Amounts written-off
(1,018)
(912)
(1,930)
 
 
(1,018)
(912)
(1,930)
                       
At 30 June 2011
17,457 
24,893 
42,350 
 
354 
127 
481 
 
17,811 
25,020 
42,831 
 
Disposals, restructurings and repayments include £1,569 million of transfers to the performing book in H1 2011.
 
For sector, geography and divisional analysis of loans, REIL and impairments, refer to Appendix 3.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Loans, REIL and impairment provisions (continued)
 
Restructuring and forbearance
Corporate loan restructuring completed during H1 2011 was £1.0 billion.
 
During H1 2011, the flow of mortgage loans subject to forbearance arrangements in UK Retail was £289 million representing 0.3% of the book. In Ulster Bank £1.8 billion (31 December 2010 - £1.2 billion) of mortgage loans were subject to forbearance arrangements at 30 June 2011, 78% of these arrangements are in the performing book.
 
Movement in loan impairment provisions
The following table shows the movement in impairment provisions for loans and advances to customers and banks.
 
 
Quarter ended
 
30 June 2011
 
31 March 2011
 
30 June 2010
 
Core 
Non-Core 
RFS MI 
Total 
 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                         
At beginning of period
8,416 
10,842 
19,258 
 
7,866 
10,316 
18,182 
 
7,397 
9,430 
16,827 
Transfers to disposal groups
 
(9)
(9)
 
(38)
(38)
Intra-group transfers
 
177 
(177)
 
Currency translation and other
  adjustments
33 
145 
178 
 
56 
95 
151 
 
(309)
(66)
(375)
Disposals
11 
11 
 
 
(17)
(17)
Amounts written-off
(504)
(474)
(978)
 
(514)
(438)
(952)
 
(562)
(2,122)
(2,684)
Recoveries of amounts
  previously written-off
41 
126 
167 
 
39 
80 
119 
 
59 
21 
80 
Charge to income statement
                       
  - continued
810 
1,427 
2,237 
 
852 
1,046 
1,898 
 
1,096 
1,383 
2,479 
  - discontinued
(11)
(11)
 
 
Unwind of discount
(44)
(68)
(112)
 
(60)
(71)
(131)
 
(48)
(58)
(106)
                         
At end of period
8,752 
12,007 
20,759 
 
8,416 
10,842 
19,258 
 
7,633 
8,533 
16,166 
 
 
 
Half year ended
 
30 June 2011
 
30 June 2010
 
Core 
Non-Core 
RFS MI 
Total 
 
Core 
Non-Core 
RFS MI 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
At beginning of period
7,866 
10,316 
18,182 
 
6,921 
8,252 
2,110 
17,283 
Transfers to disposal groups
 
(67)
(67)
Intra-group transfers
177 
(177)
 
Currency translation and other  
  adjustments
89 
240 
329 
 
(279)
119 
(160)
Disposals
11 
11 
 
(17)
(2,152)
(2,169)
Amounts written-off
(1,018)
(912)
(1,930)
 
(1,063)
(2,718)
(3,781)
Recoveries of amounts previously
  written-off
80 
206 
286 
 
104 
46 
150 
Charge to income statement
                 
  - continuing
1,662 
2,473 
4,135 
 
2,046 
3,035 
5,081 
  - discontinued
(11)
(11)
 
42 
42 
Unwind of discount
(104)
(139)
(243)
 
(96)
(117)
(213)
                   
At end of period
8,752 
12,007 
20,759 
 
7,633 
8,533 
16,166 
 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Loans, REIL and impairment provisions (continued)
 
Movement in loan impairment provisions (continued)
 
Key points
·
Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) was the main contributor to impairment losses with a total half year charge of £2.5 billion (Core - £0.7 billion; Non-Core - £1.8 billion), 61% of the total Group impairment charge of £4.1 billion. The Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) charge includes the impact of a re-assessment of collateral values relating to development land.
   
·
The other main contributor to the Q2 2011 Non-Core impairment charge was impairments in respect of a small number of large corporates.
   
·
Provision balance has increased by £2.6 billion in the first half of 2011 from £18.2 billion to £20.8 billion, as impairments are running twice the rate of write-offs.
 
Impairment provisions on loans and advances
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 March 2011
 
 
31 December 2010
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
Latent loss
1,568 
786 
2,354 
 
1,583 
963 
2,546 
 
1,653 
997 
2,650 
Collectively assessed
4,510 
1,100 
5,610 
 
4,375 
1,112 
5,487 
 
4,139 
1,157 
5,296 
Individually assessed
2,543 
10,120 
12,663 
 
2,329 
8,766 
11,095 
 
1,948 
8,161 
10,109 
                       
Customer loans
8,621 
12,006 
20,627 
 
8,287 
10,841 
19,128 
 
7,740 
10,315 
18,055 
Bank loans
131 
132 
 
129 
130 
 
126 
127 
                       
Total provisions
8,752 
12,007 
20,759 
 
8,416 
10,842 
19,258 
 
7,866 
10,316 
18,182 
                       
% of loans (1)
2.1% 
12.6% 
4.0% 
 
2.0% 
10.4% 
3.7% 
 
1.9% 
9.1% 
3.4% 
 
Note:
(1)
Customer provisions as a percentage of gross loans and advances to customers including disposal groups and excluding reverse repurchase agreements.
 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Risk management: Credit risk: Loans, REIL and impairment provisions (continued)
 
Impairment charge
 
Quarter ended
 
30 June 2011
 
 
31 March 2011
 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
Latent loss
(16)
(172)
(188)
 
(116)
(107)
Collectively assessed
465 
126 
591 
 
584 
136 
720 
Individually assessed
361 
1,473 
1,834 
 
384 
901 
1,285 
               
Customer loans
810 
1,427 
2,237 
 
852 
1,046 
1,898 
Securities  - sovereign debt impairment and
   related interest rate hedge adjustments
842 
842 
 
Securities  - other
43 
(16)
27 
 
20 
29 
49 
               
Charge to income statement
1,695 
1,411 
3,106 
 
872 
1,075 
1,947 
               
Charge relating to customer loans as a %
  of gross customer loans (1)
0.8% 
6.0% 
1.8% 
 
0.8% 
4.0% 
1.5% 
 
 
Half year ended
 
30 June 2011
 
30 June 2010
 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
Latent loss
(132)
(163)
(295)
 
(69)
24 
(45)
Collectively assessed
1,049 
262 
1,311 
 
1,249 
344 
1,593 
Individually assessed
745 
2,374 
3,119 
 
866 
2,667 
3,533 
               
Customer loans
1,662 
2,473 
4,135 
 
2,046 
3,035 
5,081 
Securities  - sovereign debt impairment and
   related interest rate hedge adjustments
842 
842 
 
Securities  - other
63 
13 
76 
 
22 
59 
81 
               
Charge to income statement
2,567 
2,486 
5,053 
 
2,068 
3,094 
5,162 
               
Charge relating to customer loans as a %
  of gross customer loans (1)
0.8% 
5.2% 
1.6% 
 
1.0% 
4.8% 
1.8% 
 
Note:
(1)
Customer loan impairment charge as a percentage of gross loans and advances to customers including disposal groups and excluding reverse repurchase agreements.
 
Key points
·
Non-Core latent loss in Q2 2011 principally reflects the release of Ulster Bank's provision relating to development land booked in Q1 2011, substituted with individually assessed impairment charge in Q2 2011.
   
·
The H1 2011 impairment charge was marginally lower than for H1 2010. The decrease in loan impairments of £0.9 billion was substantially offset by impairments of AFS Greek sovereign bonds.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Debt securities
 
The table below analyses debt securities by issuer and measurement classification with short positions netted against debt securities. However such netting is not reflected in the Group's balance sheet under IFRS.
 
 
Central and local government
Financial 
institutions 
ABS 
Corporate 
Total 
UK 
US 
Other 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
30 June 2011
             
Held-for-trading (HFT)
8,035 
14,608 
51,434 
12,099 
25,636 
6,357 
118,169 
DFV
192 
10 
213 
Available-for-sale
11,399 
16,600 
37,546 
7,951 
43,207 
1,965 
118,668 
Loans and receivables
11 
367 
5,813 
404 
6,595 
               
 
19,446 
31,208 
89,172 
20,427 
74,657 
8,735 
243,645 
Short positions (HFT)
(3,864)
(15,841)
(25,064)
(5,450)
(1,041)
(2,134)
(53,394)
               
 
15,582 
15,367 
64,108 
14,977 
73,616 
6,601 
190,251 
               
Available-for-sale
             
Gross unrealised gains
363 
474 
422 
71 
1,300 
62 
2,692 
Gross unrealised losses
(3)
(119)
(29)
(3,179)
(6)
(3,336)
               
31 March 2011
             
Held-for-trading
5,422 
19,079 
51,792 
7,461 
23,907 
5,478 
113,139 
DFV
199 
16 
114 
332 
Available-for-sale
8,474 
15,621 
34,325 
7,988 
42,884 
1,836 
111,128 
Loans and receivables
11 
391 
5,951 
432 
6,785 
               
 
13,908 
34,700 
86,316 
15,856 
72,856 
7,748 
231,384 
Short positions (HFT)
(4,852)
(12,715)
(22,463)
(3,421)
(1,014)
(2,684)
(47,149)
               
 
9,056 
21,985 
63,853 
12,435 
71,842 
5,064 
184,235 
               
Available-for-sale
             
Gross unrealised gains
207 
202 
346 
38 
1,102 
65 
1,960 
Gross unrealised losses
(24)
(44)
(820)
(31)
(3,201)
(33)
(4,153)
               
31 December 2010
             
Held-for-trading
5,097 
15,956 
43,224 
7,548 
21,988 
5,056 
98,869 
DFV
262 
16 
119 
402 
Available-for-sale
8,377 
17,890 
33,122 
7,849 
42,515 
1,377 
111,130 
Loans and receivables
11 
419 
6,203 
446 
7,079 
               
 
13,486 
33,846 
76,608 
15,832 
70,825 
6,883 
217,480 
Short positions (HFT)
(4,200)
(11,398)
(18,909)
(3,622)
(1,335)
(1,553)
(41,017)
               
 
9,286 
22,448 
57,699 
12,210 
69,490 
5,330 
176,463 
               
Available-for-sale
             
Gross unrealised gains
349 
341 
700 
60 
1,057 
88 
2,595 
Gross unrealised losses
(10)
(1)
(618)
(32)
(3,396)
(40)
(4,097)
 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Debt securities (continued)
 
Key points
·
Held-for-trading bonds increased in H1 2011 by £19.3 billion, with increases in G10 and Australian government bonds. The increase in asset-backed securities (ABS) included £4.1 billion in GBM Mortgage trading primarily in US agency pass-through notes, reflecting strong investor appetite.
   
·
The Group has continued to add to its liquidity resources through the purchase of around £7.5 billion of top quality AFS government bonds during Q2 2011. These purchases for the Group's liquidity portfolio have been focussed in the highest quality securities and most liquid markets. The growth in these liquidity reserves provides the Group with an opportunity to manage market risk and improve returns.
 
The table below analyses debt securities by issuer and external ratings.
 
Central and local government
Financial 
institutions 
ABS 
Corporate 
Total 
% of 
 total 
 
   
UK 
US 
Other 
 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
                   
30 June 2011
                 
AAA
19,446 
31,208 
55,063 
7,759 
55,669 
435 
169,580 
70 
 
AA to AA+
5,290 
3,300 
5,668 
678 
14,936 
 
A to AA-
23,843 
5,191 
3,991 
1,797 
34,822 
14 
 
BBB- to A-
3,229 
1,848 
3,501 
2,442 
11,020 
 
Non-investment grade
1,687 
931 
4,579 
2,340 
9,537 
 
Unrated
60 
1,398 
1,249 
1,043 
3,750 
 
                   
 
19,446 
31,208 
89,172 
20,427 
74,657 
8,735 
243,645 
100 
 
                   
31 March 2011
                 
AAA
13,908 
34,700 
51,272 
2,701 
52,867 
171 
155,619 
67 
 
AA to AA+
6,428 
3,341 
7,031 
640 
17,440 
 
A to AA-
22,778 
4,832 
3,187 
1,366 
32,163 
14 
 
BBB- to A-
3,351 
1,897 
3,799 
1,883 
10,930 
 
Non-investment grade
1,946 
1,300 
4,805 
3,413 
11,464 
 
Unrated
541 
1,785 
1,167 
275 
3,768 
 
                   
 
13,908 
34,700 
86,316 
15,856 
72,856 
7,748 
231,384 
100 
 
                   
31 December 2010
                 
AAA
13,486 
33,846 
44,784 
3,084 
51,235 
153 
146,588 
67 
 
AA to AA+
18,025 
3,261 
6,335 
554 
28,175 
13 
 
A to AA-
9,138 
4,352 
3,244 
1,141 
17,875 
 
BBB- to A-
2,843 
1,489 
3,385 
1,869 
9,586 
 
Non-investment grade
1,766 
2,245 
4,923 
2,311 
11,245 
 
Unrated
52 
1,401 
1,703 
855 
4,011 
 
                   
 
13,486 
33,846 
76,608 
15,832 
70,825 
6,883 
217,480 
100 
 
 
Key points
·
The proportion of AAA rated debt securities increased to 70% primarily due to a move towards higher quality government bonds as well as demand for US agency pass-through notes.
   
·
Non-investment grade and unrated bonds were 5% of the portfolio compared with 7% at the end of Q1 2011 and 2010 year end.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk:  Asset-backed securities
 
 
RMBS (1)
         
 
G10 
 government 
Covered 
 bond 
Prime 
Non- 
conforming 
Sub-prime 
 
CMBS (2) 
CDOs (3)
CLOs (4)
Other 
ABS 
Total 
30 June 2011
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                     
AAA
34,399 
7,345 
4,835 
1,587 
295 
1,991 
389 
2,116 
2,712 
55,669 
AA to AA+
1,401 
381 
451 
96 
138 
435 
539 
1,356 
871 
5,668 
A to AA-
144 
385 
239 
76 
280 
1,238 
389 
448 
792 
3,991 
BBB- to A-
61 
138 
301 
86 
398 
171 
582 
1,764 
3,501 
Non-investment grade
758 
727 
308 
408 
1,900 
259 
219 
4,579 
Unrated
108 
23 
101 
14 
97 
484 
422 
1,249 
                     
 
35,944 
8,172 
6,529 
2,810 
1,208 
4,484 
3,485 
5,245 
6,780 
74,657 
                     
31 March 2011
                   
AAA
32,067 
7,200 
4,140 
1,684 
273 
1,922 
424 
2,269 
2,888 
52,867 
AA to AA+
1,547 
475 
653 
96 
218 
744 
565 
1,617 
1,116 
7,031 
A to AA-
197 
118 
73 
246 
979 
358 
345 
871 
3,187 
BBB- to A-
157 
162 
299 
84 
390 
185 
578 
1,944 
3,799 
Non-investment grade
760 
917 
246 
439 
1,847 
344 
252 
4,805 
Unrated
25 
28 
143 
76 
673 
220 
1,167 
                     
 
33,614 
8,029 
5,858 
3,097 
1,210 
4,476 
3,455 
5,826 
7,291 
72,856 
                     
31 December 2010
                   
AAA
28,835 
7,107 
4,355 
1,754 
317 
2,789 
444 
2,490 
3,144 
51,235 
AA to AA+
1,529 
357 
147 
144 
116 
392 
567 
1,786 
1,297 
6,335 
A to AA-
408 
67 
60 
212 
973 
296 
343 
885 
3,244 
BBB- to A-
82 
316 
39 
500 
203 
527 
1,718 
3,385 
Non-investment grade
900 
809 
458 
296 
1,863 
332 
265 
4,923 
Unrated
196 
52 
76 
85 
596 
698 
1,703 
                     
 
30,364 
7,872 
5,747 
3,135 
1,218 
4,950 
3,458 
6,074 
8,007 
70,825 
 
Notes:
(1)
Residential mortgage-backed securities.
(2)
Commercial mortgage-backed securities.
(3)
Collateralised debt obligations.
(4)
Collateralised loan obligations.
 
For analyses of ABS by geography and measurement classification, refer to Appendix 3.
 
 

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Available-for-sale debt securities and reserves
The table below analyses available-for-sale (AFS) debt securities by issuer and related AFS reserves, gross and net of tax, for countries exceeding £0.5 billion, together with the total of those individually less than £0.5 billion.
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 March 2011
 
31  December 2010
 
Central 
and local 
government 
ABS 
Other (1)
Total 
AFS 
 reserves
(gross)
AFS 
 reserves 
(net)
 
Central 
and local 
government 
ABS 
Other (1)
Total 
AFS 
 reserves 
(net)
 
Central 
and local 
government 
ABS 
Other (1)
Total 
AFS 
 reserves 
(net)
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                                     
US
16,600 
20,707 
521 
37,828 
131 
265 
 
15,670 
20,961 
731 
37,362 
(133)
 
17,890 
20,872 
763 
39,525 
(116)
UK
11,399 
4,286 
2,066 
17,751 
182 
(148)
 
8,500 
4,134 
2,052 
14,686 
(134)
 
8,377 
4,002 
2,284 
14,663 
(106)
Germany
14,218 
1,160 
477 
15,855 
(38)
(35)
 
12,584 
1,298 
500 
14,382 
(217)
 
10,649 
1,360 
535 
12,544 
(35)
Netherlands
5,323 
7,366 
782 
13,471 
(66)
40 
 
3,977 
7,096 
774 
11,847 
(8)
 
3,469 
6,773 
713 
10,955 
(59)
France
5,503 
628 
1,171 
7,302 
(36)
(22)
 
4,195 
579 
1,000 
5,774 
(42)
 
5,912 
575 
900 
7,387 
33 
Spain
91 
7,018 
51 
7,160 
(1,243)
(921)
 
91 
6,912 
78 
7,081 
(863)
 
88 
6,773 
157 
7,018 
(939)
Japan
4,240 
 - 
4,246 
 
4,204 
4,207 
 
4,354 
82 
4,436 
Australia
 - 
599 
2,141 
2,740 
(17)
(20)
 
467 
2,421 
2,888 
(27)
 
486 
1,586 
2,072 
(34)
Singapore
1,144 
 - 
213 
1,357 
 
798 
206 
1,004 
 
649 
209 
858 
Italy
955 
240 
16 
1,211 
(105)
(79)
 
928 
238 
24 
1,190 
(67)
 
906 
243 
24 
1,173 
(86)
Supranational
960 
960 
26 
25 
 
489 
489 
 
459 
459 
Denmark
694 
 - 
206 
900 
(3)
(3)
 
690 
251 
941 
(7)
 
629 
172 
801 
India
642 
 -  
175 
817 
(8)
(5)
 
657 
156 
813 
(3)
 
548 
139 
687 
Belgium
770 
36 
814 
(52)
(39)
 
742 
35 
785 
(32)
 
763 
34 
53 
850 
(34)
Greece
733 
 - 
733 
 
936 
936 
(476)
 
895 
895 
(517)
Switzerland
535 
 - 
173 
708 
12 
10 
 
749 
161 
910 
 
657 
156 
813 
11 
Austria
283 
162 
150 
595 
(34)
(27)
 
267 
50 
143 
460 
(19)
 
274 
51 
151 
476 
(20)
Sweden
79 
257 
253 
589 
 
77 
250 
219 
546 
 
30 
269 
165 
464 
Hong Kong
544 
 - 
545 
 
797 
12 
809 
 
905 
913 
South Korea
129 
271 
400 
 
229 
383 
612 
 
261 
429 
690 
(2)
Republic of
  Ireland
93 
160 
128 
381 
(100)
(75)
 
101 
161 
375 
637 
(67)
 
104 
177 
408 
689 
(74)
Other
1,570 
317 
418 
2,305 
(91)
(71)
 
2,228 
320 
221 
2,769 
(43)
 
2,029 
471 
262 
2,762 
(93)
                                     
 
65,545 
43,207 
9,916 
118,668 
(1,440)
(1,103)
 
58,420 
42,884 
9,824 
111,128 
(2,125)
 
59,389 
42,515 
9,226 
111,130 
(2,061)
 
Note:
(1)
Relates to financial institutes and corporates.
 

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives
 
The Group's derivative assets by internal grading scale and residual maturity are set out below. Master netting arrangements in respect of mark-to-market (mtm) values and collateral do not result in a net presentation in the Group's balance sheet under IFRS.
 
   
30 June 2011
31 March 
2011 
Total 
31 December 
2010 
Total 
Asset
quality
Probability
of default range
0-3 
months 
3-6 
months 
6-12 
months 
1-5 
years 
Over 5 
years 
Total 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
AQ1
0% - 0.034%
23,480 
10,823 
16,883 
114,941 
190,904 
357,031 
323,302 
408,489 
AQ2
0.034% - 0.048%
648 
154 
366 
1,666 
2,766 
5,600 
5,365 
2,659 
AQ3
0.048% - 0.095%
1,523 
461 
741 
3,293 
4,890 
10,908 
10,780 
3,317 
AQ4
0.095% - 0.381%
776 
138 
429 
2,434 
2,847 
6,624 
6,349 
3,391 
AQ5
0.381% - 1.076%
602 
164 
251 
2,290 
3,626 
6,933 
6,396 
4,860 
AQ6
1.076% - 2.153%
1,574 
57 
121 
963 
880 
3,595 
3,991 
1,070 
AQ7
2.153% - 6.089%
194 
25 
55 
511 
1,287 
2,072 
1,880 
857 
AQ8
6.089% - 17.222%
10 
108 
532 
654 
786 
403 
AQ9
17.222% - 100%
20 
10 
24 
192 
240 
486 
995 
450 
AQ10
100%
184 
36 
468 
274 
969 
1,204 
1,581 
                   
   
29,004 
11,840 
18,916 
126,866 
208,246 
394,872 
361,048 
427,077 
Counterparty mtm netting
         
(323,455)
(290,462)
(330,397)
Cash collateral held against derivative exposures
     
(27,500)
(25,363)
(31,096)
                   
Net exposure
           
43,917 
45,223 
65,584 
                       
 
At 30 June 2011, the Group also held collateral in the form of securities of £4.2 billion (31 March 2011 - £3.3 billion; 31 December 2010 - £2.9 billion) against derivative positions.
 
The table below analyses the fair value of the Group's derivatives by type of contract.
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 March 2011
 
31 December 2010
 
Assets 
Liabilities 
 
Assets 
Liabilities 
 
Assets 
Liabilities 
Contract type
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                 
Interest rate contracts
283,966 
269,638 
 
259,006 
250,515 
 
311,731 
299,209 
Exchange rate contracts
72,682 
78,095 
 
73,552 
79,045 
 
83,253 
89,375 
Credit derivatives
32,507 
30,877 
 
22,704 
21,689 
 
26,872 
25,344 
Equity and commodity contracts
5,717 
9,199 
 
5,786 
9,376 
 
5,221 
10,039 
                 
 
394,872 
387,809 
 
361,048 
360,625 
 
427,077 
423,967 
 
Key points
 
30 June 2011 compared with 31 March 2011
·
Net exposure, after taking account of position and collateral netting arrangements reduced marginally in Q2 2011, despite an increase in derivative carrying values.
   
·
Interest rate contracts increased due to lower over-the-counter contract compression trades, reductions in interest rate yields and depreciation of sterling against the euro. This was partially offset by the effect of the appreciation of sterling against the US dollar. All major five year interest rate indices (sterling, euro, and US dollar), moved down, decreasing by approximately 45, 26, and 39 basis points respectively. 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives (continued)
 
Key points (continued)
 
30 June 2011 compared with 31 March 2011 (continued)
·
Exchange rate contracts decreased due to the trading fluctuations and movements in forward rates and volume.
   
·
Credit derivative fair values increased by £9.8 billion, primarily as a result of de-risking of Non-Core where hedging trades resulted in higher assets and liabilities. Widening credit spreads also contributed to the increase in Non-Core.
 
30 June 2011 compared with 31 December 2010
·
Net exposure, after taking account of position and collateral netting arrangements, reduced by 33%, primarily reflecting reductions in derivative carrying values.
   
·
The main driver of the £28 billion decrease in interest rate assets reflected greater use of over-the-counter contract compression trades during H1 2011 overall and appreciation of sterling against the US dollar, as the majority of interest rate contracts are US dollar denominated. This was partially offset by a reduction in clearing house netting, downward shifts in US interest rate yields and increased net new business.
   
·
Exchange rate contracts decreased due to trading fluctuations and movements in forward rates and volume.
   
·
Credit derivatives increased by £5.6 billion, primarily as a result of de-risking of Non-Core where hedging trades put in place in Q2 2011 resulted in higher assets and liabilities. Widening credit spreads also increased carrying values in Non-Core's Structured Credit Products.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives (continued)
 
The Group's exposures to monolines and CDPCs by credit rating are summarised below, ratings are based on the lower of S&P and Moody's. All of these exposures are in Non-Core.
 
 
Notional: 
 protected 
 assets 
Fair value: 
reference 
 protected 
assets 
Gross 
 exposure 
Credit 
valuation 
adjustment
(CVA)
Hedges 
Net 
 exposure 
Monoline insurers
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
30 June 2011
           
A to AA-
5,547 
4,936 
611 
166 
445 
Non-investment grade
7,079 
4,047 
3,032 
2,155 
68 
809 
             
 
12,626 
8,983 
3,643 
2,321 
68 
1,254 
             
Of which:
           
CMBS
3,853 
2,131 
1,722 
1,285 
   
CDOs
1,086 
230 
856 
596 
   
CLOs
4,946 
4,561 
385 
107 
   
Other ABS
2,241 
1,739 
502 
250 
   
Other
500 
322 
178 
83 
   
             
 
12,626 
8,983 
3,643 
2,321 
   
             
31 March 2011
           
A to AA-
5,759 
5,121 
638 
194 
444 
Non-investment grade
8,123 
5,246 
2,877 
1,984 
69 
824 
             
 
13,882 
10,367 
3,515 
2,178 
69 
1,268 
             
Of which:
           
CMBS
3,859 
2,316 
1,543 
1,132 
   
CDOs
1,092 
245 
847 
569 
   
CLOs
6,183 
5,747 
436 
139 
   
Other ABS
2,260 
1,734 
526 
260 
   
Other
488 
325 
163 
78 
   
             
 
13,882 
10,367 
3,515 
2,178 
   
             
31 December 2010
           
A to AA-
6,336 
5,503 
833 
272 
561 
Non-investment grade
8,555 
5,365 
3,190 
2,171 
71 
948 
             
 
14,891 
10,868 
4,023 
2,443 
71 
1,509 
             
Of which:
           
CMBS
4,149 
2,424 
1,725 
1,253 
   
CDOs
1,133 
256 
877 
593 
   
CLOs
6,724 
6,121 
603 
210 
   
Other ABS
2,393 
1,779 
614 
294 
   
Other
492 
288 
204 
93 
   
             
 
14,891 
10,868 
4,023 
2,443 
   
 
Key points
 
30 June 2011 compared with 31 March 2011
·
The gross exposure to monolines increased primarily due to lower prices of underlying reference instruments.
   
·
The CVA increased reflecting the increase in exposure and widened credit spreads.


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Derivatives (continued)
 
30 June 2011 compared with 31 December 2010
·
The exposure to monolines decreased primarily due to higher prices of underlying reference instruments.  The trades with monolines are predominantly US dollar denominated.  The strengthening of sterling against the US dollar further decreased the exposure.
   
·
The CVA decreased on a total basis, with a reduction in exposure but partially offset by the impact of wider credit spreads.
 
 
Notional: 
protected 
 assets 
Fair value: 
reference 
protected 
assets 
Gross 
exposure 
Credit 
valuation 
adjustment 
Net 
exposure 
CDPCs
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
           
30 June 2011
         
AAA
205 
205 
A to AA-
622 
607 
15 
11 
Non-investment grade
19,724 
18,759 
965 
427 
538 
Unrated
3,927 
3,712 
215 
101 
114 
           
 
24,478 
23,283 
1,195 
532 
663 
           
31 March 2011
         
AAA
206 
206 
A to AA-
623 
607 
16 
11 
Non-investment grade
19,686 
18,793 
893 
362 
531 
Unrated
3,964 
3,772 
192 
78 
114 
           
 
24,479 
23,378 
1,101 
445 
656 
           
31 December 2010
         
AAA
213 
212 
A to AA-
644 
629 
15 
11 
Non-investment grade
20,066 
19,050 
1,016 
401 
615 
Unrated
4,165 
3,953 
212 
85 
127 
           
 
25,088 
23,844 
1,244 
490 
754 
 
Key points
 
30 June 2011 compared with 31 March 2011
·
Exposure to CDPCs increased primarily driven by wider credit spreads on the underlying reference loans and bonds, partially offset by a decrease in the relative value of senior tranches compared with that of underlying reference portfolios.
·
The CVA increased in line with the increased exposure.
 
30 June 2011 compared with 31 December 2010
·
Exposure to CDPCs reduced, primarily driven by a decrease in the relative value of senior tranches compared with that of the underlying reference portfolios. This was partially offset by wider credit spreads on the underlying reference instruments. The trades with CDPCs are predominantly US and Canadian dollar denominated. The strengthening of sterling against these currencies also contributed to the decrease in exposure.
·
The increase in CVA was primarily driven by an increase in the estimated cost of hedging expected underlying portfolio default losses in excess of the capital available in each vehicle. The level of CVA on CDPC exposures is estimated by reference to cost of hedging as above and recent market events affecting CDPCs, including commutation activity.
 
 
 
 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Cross border exposures
 
Cross border exposures consist of loans and advances gross of provisions and other financial instruments, such as debt securities and derivatives, including non-local currency claims of overseas on local residents. The geographical analysis is based on the country of domicile of the borrower or guarantor of ultimate risk. Cross border exposures exclude exposure to local residents in local currency.
 
The table below sets out the Group's cross border exposures greater than 0.5% of the Group's total assets at 30 June 2011. Short positions have been netted against cross border exposures. However such netting is not reflected in the Group's balance sheet under IFRS. None of these countries have experienced repayment difficulties that have so far required restructuring of outstanding debt. On 21 July 2011 proposals to restructure Greek government debt were announced by the Heads of State or Government of the Euro area and EU institutions.  These proposals include a voluntary programme of debt exchange and a buyback plan developed by the Greek government.
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 December 2010
 
Government 
Banks 
Other
Total 
Short 
positions 
Net of short 
positions 
 
Government 
Banks 
Other
Total 
Short 
positions 
Net of short 
positions 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                           
US
22,912 
9,721 
39,259 
71,892 
19,484 
52,408 
 
21,201 
14,382 
36,813 
72,396 
14,240 
58,156 
France
18,905 
18,956 
6,635 
44,496 
6,069 
38,427 
 
17,293 
16,007 
6,756 
40,056 
4,285 
35,771 
Germany
21,741 
6,595 
8,320 
36,656 
5,391 
31,265 
 
22,962 
6,276 
10,467 
39,705 
4,685 
35,020 
Netherlands
4,303 
5,186 
11,778 
21,267 
1,287 
19,980 
 
2,900 
3,055 
10,824 
16,779 
951 
15,828 
Japan
5,421 
7,789 
5,777 
18,987 
3,336 
15,651 
 
7,983 
6,962 
7,542 
22,487 
409 
22,078 
Spain
1,247 
4,911 
11,242 
17,400 
2,402 
14,998 
 
1,401 
4,248 
11,589 
17,238 
1,357 
15,881 
Italy
8,501 
1,671 
1,846 
12,018 
5,337 
6,681 
 
6,409 
1,083 
2,188 
9,680 
3,183 
6,497 
Switzerland
4,313 
4,024 
3,309 
11,646 
18 
11,628 
 
1,714 
2,944 
4,662 
12 
4,650 
Republic of Ireland
186 
3,094 
2,376 
5,656 
82 
5,574 
 
199 
3,789 
3,101 
7,089 
131 
6,958 
                           
Set out below are cross border exposures for selected other eurozone countries:
             
Portugal
189 
536 
957 
1,682 
113 
1,569 
 
197 
985 
472 
1,654 
121 
1,533 
Greece
1,032 
48 
840 
1,920 
29 
1,891 
 
1,015 
228 
1,175 
2,418 
37 
2,381 
 
 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Country risk*
 
Country exposures are managed under the Group's country risk framework. This includes active management of exposures that have either been identified as exhibiting signs of actual or potential stress using the Group's country watchlist process or where it is considered appropriate to actively control exposure levels.  Limit controls are applied on a risk-differentiated basis. Granular portfolio reviews are undertaken with a view to adjusting the risk profile and to align to the Group's country risk appetite in light of the evolving economic and political developments. 
 
A re-appraisal of sovereign default risk among the most vulnerable eurozone economies has resulted in intensified management responses. This included frequent, comprehensive and detailed reviews of exposures to each of these countries, including increased vigilance in counterparty monitoring, leading to several divestments and limit reductions to ensure the Group's exposure remains within defined risk appetite. Exposure to Irish banks for example is now less than half of the exposure in Q4 2008.
 
In addition to the macroeconomic and strategic analysis in the regular country risk control process, the Group has undertaken sovereign-related stress tests and a series of broad thematic reviews of possible high-impact scenarios related to the eurozone crisis, with potential impact and mitigating actions. Investigated themes include sovereign debt restructuring, various eurozone break-up scenarios and a re-examination of potential financial sector support given ongoing public finance and political pressures. These reviews combine operational analysis with strategic commentary to develop detailed contingency plans and identify potential business opportunities.
 
A dynamic limit setting methodology was introduced with an automatic reduction of trading limits upon evidence of reduced liquidity or increased CDS spreads. This approach has resulted in an effective reduction in sovereign issuer risk limits for the vulnerable eurozone countries.
 
The table below shows the Group's exposure in terms of credit risk assets, to countries where the exposure to counterparties domiciled in that country exceeded £1 billion and where the country had an external rating of A+ or below from Standard & Poor's, Moody's or Fitch at 30 June 2011, and selected other countries. The numbers are stated gross of mitigating action which may have been taken to reduce or eliminate exposure to country risk events. 
 
Further details for selected eurozone countries are provided in Appendix 3.
 
 
 
 
 
* not reviewed


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Country risk* (continued)
 
 
Lending
 
Derivatives and
contingent obligations
Central
and local
government
Central
 banks
Other
financial
institutions
Corporate
Personal
Total
Core
Non-
Core
30 June 2011
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
                     
Republic of Ireland
53
1,557
459
20,669
20,773
43,511
32,364
11,147
 
2,448
India
192
260
1,170
2,625
16
4,263
3,975
288
 
1,448
Italy
7
81
1,121
2,317
26
3,552
1,891
1,661
 
2,323
China
14
223
1,431
647
34
2,349
2,177
172
 
1,697
South Korea
-
12
1,078
710
2
1,802
1,786
16
 
394
Turkey
207
36
312
1,216
13
1,784
1,221
563
 
556
Russia
-
49
815
808
65
1,737
1,610
127
 
248
Brazil
-
-
1,001
301
4
1,306
1,185
121
 
88
Mexico
-
8
249
1,036
1
1,294
872
422
 
198
Romania
34
183
48
477
401
1,143
17
1,126
 
125
Poland
41
5
52
723
5
826
744
82
 
372
Indonesia
83
57
233
264
133
770
632
138
 
321
Portugal
45
-
48
585
5
683
327
356
 
555
                     
Additional selected countries
               
                     
Spain
20
13
1,197
6,842
405
8,477
4,022
4,455
 
2,372
Belgium
172
11
1,182
983
19
2,367
1,855
512
 
2,342
Japan
401
-
1,028
756
24
2,209
1,561
648
 
1,907
Greece
10
9
36
421
15
491
341
150
 
220
 
31 December 2010
                   
                     
Republic of Ireland
61
2,119
900
19,881
20,228
43,189
32,431
10,758
 
3,496
India
262
-
1,614
2,590
273
4,739
4,085
654
 
1,249
Italy
45
78
1,086
2,483
27
3,719
1,817
1,902
 
2,312
China
17
298
1,240
753
64
2,372
2,136
236
 
1,572
South Korea
-
276
1,039
555
2
1,872
1,822
50
 
643
Turkey
282
68
485
1,365
12
2,212
1,520
692
 
547
Russia
-
110
251
1,181
58
1,600
1,475
125
 
216
Brazil
-
-
825
315
5
1,145
1,025
120
 
120
Mexico
-
8
149
999
1
1,157
854
303
 
148
Romania
36
178
42
426
446
1,128
7
1,121
 
142
Poland
-
168
13
655
6
842
736
106
 
381
Indonesia
84
42
262
293
131
812
657
155
 
273
Portugal
86
-
63
611
6
766
450
316
 
537
                     
Additional selected countries
               
                     
Spain
19
5
258
6,962
407
7,651
3,130
4,521
 
2,447
Belgium
102
14
473
893
327
1,809
1,307
502
 
2,546
Japan
1,379
-
685
809
24
2,897
2,105
792
 
2,000
Greece
14
36
49
188
16
303
173
130
 
214
 
Note:
(1)
Credit risk assets consist of:
 
Lending: cash and balances at central banks, loans and advances to banks and customers (including overdraft        facilities, instalment credit and finance leases). Undrawn commitments are excluded;
 
Derivative exposures are measured at mark-to-market and net of liabilities where a master netting arrangement is enforceable;
 
Contingent obligations, primarily letters of credit and guarantees. Undrawn commitments are excluded.
 
 
* not reviewed


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Country risk* (continued)
 
Key points
·
Exposure shows a mixed picture for the selected countries during the first half of 2011. Currency movements increased euro denominated lending by 4.6% and reduced US dollar denominated exposures by 3.5%. There were reductions in lending to governments, central banks and corporate clients whereas exposure to banks increased. Non-Core exposures fell, except in a few countries where drawings took place under committed facilities. Appendix 3 provides further commentary and details on selected eurozone countries, including held-for-trading and available-for-sale holdings.
   
·
Japan - lending exposure at £2.2 billion reduced by £0.7 billion since 31 December 2010 driven by a reduction in government lending.
   
·
North Africa and the Middle East - exposure reduced during the first half of 2011. Of the countries experiencing varying degrees of social and political unrest. Lending exposure to Bahrain and Egypt was £197 million and £77 million respectively. Exposure to Libya and Syria is negligible.
 
 
 
 
* not reviewed


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate*
 
The commercial real estate lending portfolio totalled £84.6 billion at 30 June 2011, a 5.9% decrease since 31 December 2010 (£89.9 billion). The Non-Core portion of the portfolio totalled £42.7 billion (50.5% of the portfolio) at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010 - £47.7 billion, or 53.0% of the portfolio) and includes exposures in Ulster Bank Group as discussed on page 159. The analysis below excludes RRM and contingent obligations.
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 March 2011
 
31 December 2010
 
Investment 
Development 
Total 
 
Investment 
Development 
Total 
 
Investment 
Development 
Total 
By division
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
Core
                     
UK Corporate(1)
25,472 
5,839 
31,311 
 
26,514 
6,124 
32,638 
 
24,879 
5,819 
30,698 
Ulster Bank
4,338 
955 
5,293 
 
4,272 
1,015 
5,287 
 
4,284 
1,090 
5,374 
US Retail &
  Commercial
4,009 
98 
4,107 
 
4,083 
87 
4,170 
 
4,322 
93 
4,415 
GBM
775 
402 
1,177 
 
1,030 
417 
1,447 
 
1,131 
644 
1,775 
                       
 
34,594 
7,294 
41,888 
 
35,899 
7,643 
43,542 
 
34,616 
7,646 
42,262 
                       
Non-Core
                     
UK Corporate
4,765 
2,504 
7,269 
 
5,372 
2,701 
8,073 
 
7,591 
3,263 
10,854 
Ulster Bank
4,076 
9,002 
13,078 
 
3,947 
8,881 
12,828 
 
3,854 
8,760 
12,614 
US Retail &
  Commercial
1,101 
49 
1,150 
 
1,234 
55 
1,289 
 
1,325 
70 
1,395 
GBM
20,823 
399 
21,222 
 
21,707 
523 
20,230 
 
22,405 
417 
22,822 
                       
 
30,765 
11,954 
42,719 
 
32,260 
12,160 
44,420 
 
35,175 
12,510 
47,685 
                       
 
65,359 
19,248 
84,607 
 
68,159 
19,803 
87,962 
 
69,791 
20,156 
89,947 
 
Note:
(1)
The increase in Core UK Corporate exposures in Q1 2011 reflected Non-Core returning commercial real estate assets, in preparation for the sale of the RBS England and Wales branch-based business to Santander.
 
 
 
 
 
* not reviewed


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate* (continued)
 
 
Investment
 
Development
 
 
Commercial 
Residential 
 
Commercial 
Residential 
Total 
By geography
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
30 June 2011
           
UK (excluding Northern Ireland)
31,116 
6,696 
 
1,356 
7,763 
46,931 
Ireland (ROI & NI) (1)
5,424 
1,210 
 
2,762 
6,701 
16,097 
Western Europe
10,887 
1,565 
 
13 
87 
12,552 
US
5,880 
1,196 
 
79 
108 
7,263 
RoW
1,361 
24 
 
149 
230 
1,764 
             
 
54,668 
10,691 
 
4,359 
14,889 
84,607 
             
31 March 2011
           
UK (excluding Northern Ireland)
32,221 
7,195 
 
1,405 
8,184 
49,005 
Ireland (ROI & NI) (1)
5,153 
1,143 
 
2,848 
6,556 
15,700 
Western Europe
12,273 
712 
 
70 
13,063 
US
6,696 
1,252 
 
234 
97 
8,279 
RoW
1,490 
24 
 
141 
260 
1,915 
             
 
57,833 
10,326 
 
4,636 
15,167 
87,962 
             
31 December 2010
           
UK (excluding Northern Ireland)
32,979 
7,255 
 
1,520 
8,296 
50,050 
Ireland (ROI & NI) (1)
5,056 
1,148 
 
2,785 
6,578 
15,567 
Western Europe
12,262 
707 
 
25 
46 
13,040 
US
7,405 
1,332 
 
69 
175 
8,981 
RoW
1,622 
25 
 
138 
524 
2,309 
             
 
59,324 
10,467 
 
4,537 
15,619 
89,947 
 
Note:
(1)
ROI: Republic of Ireland; NI: Northern Ireland.
 
 
 
 
* not reviewed


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate* (continued)
 
 
Investment
 
Development
 
 
Core 
Non-Core 
 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
By geography
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
30 June 2011
           
UK (excluding Northern Ireland)
26,564 
11,248 
 
6,023 
3,096 
46,931 
Ireland (ROI & NI)
3,364 
3,270 
 
858 
8,605 
16,097 
Western Europe
431 
12,021 
 
55 
45 
12,552 
US
4,059 
3,017 
 
131 
56 
7,263 
RoW
176 
1,209 
 
227 
152 
1,764 
             
 
34,594 
30,765 
 
7,294 
11,954 
84,607 
             
31 March 2011
           
UK (excluding Northern Ireland)
27,658 
11,758 
 
6,320 
3,269 
49,005 
Ireland (ROI & NI)
3,189 
3,107 
 
899 
8,505 
15,700 
Western Europe
378 
12,607 
 
50 
28 
13,063 
US
4,396 
3,552 
 
121 
210 
8,279 
RoW
278 
1,236 
 
253 
148 
1,915 
             
 
35,899 
32,261 
 
7,643 
12,159 
87,962 
             
31 December 2010
           
UK (excluding Northern Ireland)
26,168 
14,066 
 
5,997 
3,819 
50,050 
Ireland (ROI & NI)
3,159 
3,044 
 
963 
8,401 
15,567 
Western Europe
409 
12,560 
 
25 
46 
13,040 
US
4,636 
4,101 
 
173 
71 
8,981 
RoW
244 
1,404 
 
488 
173 
2,309 
             
 
34,616 
35,175 
 
7,646 
12,510 
89,947 
 
By sub-sector (1)
UK 
(excl NI) 
£m 
Ireland 
(ROI & NI) 
£m 
Western 
Europe 
£m 
US 
£m 
RoW 
£m 
Total 
£m 
             
30 June 2011
           
Residential
14,449 
9,046 
1,650 
1,304 
254 
26,703 
Office
7,766 
462 
4,446 
552 
806 
14,032 
Retail
9,671 
956 
2,618 
268 
296 
13,809 
Industrial
4,589 
183 
675 
53 
51 
5,551 
Mixed/other
10,456 
5,450 
3,163 
5,086 
357 
24,512 
             
 
46,931 
16,097 
12,552 
7,263 
1,764 
84,607 
             
31 December 2010
 
Residential
15,551 
7,726 
753 
1,507 
549 
26,086 
Office
8,551 
1,402 
4,431 
675 
891 
15,950 
Retail
10,607 
3,985 
1,933 
1,029 
479 
18,033 
Industrial
4,928 
674 
711 
80 
106 
6,499 
Mixed/other
10,413 
1,780 
5,212 
5,690 
284 
23,379 
             
 
50,050 
15,567 
13,040 
8,981 
2,309 
89,947 
 
Note:
(1)
Excludes RRM and contingent obligations.
 
 
* not reviewed


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Commercial real estate* (continued)
 
Key points
·
The decrease in the commercial real estate portfolio over the last six months has occurred primarily in the UK. The growth shown in Ireland is due to foreign exchange rate movements. The asset mix has remained broadly unchanged since the end of 2010.
   
·
Of the total portfolio at 30 June 2011, £39.0 billion (31 December 2010 - £46.3 billion) is managed within the Group's standard credit risk processes, £6.2 billion (31 December 2010 - £9.2 billion) is receiving heightened credit oversight under the Group watchlist process ("watch") and £39.5 billion (31 December 2010 - £34.4 billion) is managed within Global Restructuring Group (GRG). The increase in the portfolio managed by GRG is primarily driven by Ulster Bank Group.
   
·
Ulster Bank (Core and Non-Core) commercial real estate lending of £18.4 billion had a provision of £6.0 billion at 30 June 2011.
   
·
Short-term lending to property developers without firm long-term financing in place is characterised as speculative. Speculative lending at origination continues to represent less than 1% of the portfolio.
   
·
Tighter risk appetite criteria for new business origination were implemented during 2010. Whilst there has been some recovery in the value of prime properties in the UK, the Group observes that it has been inconsistent. To date this recovery has not fed through into lower quality properties in the UK and has not been evident in other regions, notably the eurozone and Republic of Ireland.
   
·
The commercial real estate market will remain challenging in key markets and new business will be accommodated by running-off existing exposure. Liquidity in the market remains tight and so the Group's focus remains on re-financing and supporting the existing client base.
 
 
 
 
 
* not reviewed


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Retail assets*
 
The Group's retail lending portfolio includes mortgages, credit cards, unsecured loans, auto finance and overdrafts. The majority of personal lending exposures are in the UK, Ireland and the US. The table below includes both Core and Non-Core balances.
 
 
30 June 
2011 
31 December 
2010 
Personal credit risk assets
£m 
£m 
     
UK Retail
   
  - mortgages
95,955 
92,592 
  - cards, loans and overdrafts
16,941 
18,072 
Ulster Bank
   
  - mortgages
21,778 
21,162 
  - other personal
1,605 
1,017 
Citizens
   
  - mortgages
23,513 
24,575 
  - auto and cards
5,575 
6,062 
  - other (1)
3,070 
3,455 
Other (2)
16,409 
18,123 
     
 
184,846 
185,058 
 
Notes:
(1)
Mainly student loans and recreational vehicles/marine.
(2)
Personal exposures in other divisions.
 
 
Residential mortgages*
The table below details the distribution of residential mortgages by indexed LTV. Ulster Bank Group is discussed on page 159.
 
 
UK Retail
 
Citizens
 
30 June 
2011 
31 December 
2010 
 
30 June 
2011 
31 December 
2010 
Distribution by average LTV (1)
 
           
<= 50%
37.9 
38.5 
 
26.9 
25.8 
> 50% and <= 70%
22.4 
23.2 
 
18.1 
17.3 
> 70% and <= 90%
26.4 
26.2 
 
26.6 
27.4 
> 90%
13.3 
12.1 
 
28.4 
29.5 
           
Total portfolio average LTV
59.0 
58.2 
 
75.3 
75.3 
           
Average LTV on new originations
54.9 
64.2 
 
65.0 
64.8 
 
Note:
(1)
LTV averages are calculated by transaction volume.
 
 
 
 * not reviewed
 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Retail assets - Residential mortgages* (continued)
 
The table below details the residential mortgages which are three months or more in arrears (by volume).
 
30 June 
2011 
31 December 
2010 
 
     
UK Retail (1)
1.7 
1.7 
Citizens
1.2 
1.4 
 
Note:
(1)
UK Retail arrears analysis covers all mortgage brands except the One Account Current Account Mortgage and some small legacy portfolios and so represents 92% of the total UK Retail mortgage portfolio. The One Account accounts for the vast majority of the remainder (c.£8 billion of assets, c.8% of the total) and had 1.0% of accounts 90 days continually in excess of limit as at 30 June 2011 (31 March 2011 - 0.9%).
 
UK Retail residential mortgages
 
Key points
·
The UK Retail mortgage portfolio totalled £96.0 billion at 30 June 2011, an increase of 3.6% from 31 December 2010, due to continued strong sales growth and lower redemption rates relative to before the financial crisis. Of the total portfolio, 98.4% is designated as Core business with the primary brands being the Royal Bank of Scotland, NatWest, the One Account and First Active. Non-Core comprises Direct Line Mortgages. The assets are prime mortgage lending and include 6.8% (£6.5 billion) of exposure to residential buy-to-let. There is a small legacy self certification book (0.3% of total assets), which was withdrawn from sale in 2004.
·
Gross new mortgage lending in H1 2011 remained strong at £7.8 billion. The average LTV for new business during H1 2011 was 54.9% compared with 64.2% in FY 2010. The maximum LTV available to new customers remains at 90%. Based on the Halifax House Price index at March 2011, the book average indexed LTV has increased marginally to 59.0% from 58.2% at 31 December 2010, influenced by the fall in house prices with the proportion of balances with an LTV over 100% at 30 June 2011 at 7.8%, up from 6.9% at 31 December 2010.
·
The arrears rate (more than 3 payments in arrears, excluding repossessions and shortfalls post property sale) has remained broadly stable since late 2009 at 1.7%.
·
The mortgage impairment charge was £116 million for the half year ended 30 June 2011 (Q1 2011 - £61 million; Q2 2011 - £55 million) an increase of 36.7% from H2 2010.  A significant part of this relates to adjustments reflecting reduced expectations of recovery on prior period defaulted debt and provisions relating to mortgages in forbearance.  Default and arrears rates remain sensitive to economic developments and are currently supported by the low interest rate environment and strong book growth with recent business yet to mature.
·
A number of initiatives aimed at supporting customers experiencing temporary financial difficulties remain in place. Forbearance/re-negotiation activities include offering reduced or deferred payment terms on a temporary basis for a period of up to twelve months, during which arrears continue to accrue on the account, as well as term extensions beyond the originally planned repayment date, and also re-capitalisations from the non-performing book back to performing. It is Group policy not to initiate repossession proceedings for at least six months after arrears are evident. The number of properties repossessed in H1 2011 was 715 which is broadly in line with the 2010 average.
 
* not reviewed


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Retail assets - Residential mortgages* (continued)
 
Citizens residential real estate
 
Key points
·
Citizens total residential real estate portfolio totalled $37.8 billion at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010 - $38.2 billion).  The residential real estate portfolio comprises $10.1 billion (Core - $9.0 billion; Non-Core - $1.1 billion) of first lien residential mortgages and $27.7 billion (Core - $23.4 billion; Non-Core - $4.3 billion) of home equity loans and lines (first and second lien). Home equity Core consists of 46% first lien position while Non-Core consists of 98% second lien position. The Core business comprises 86% of the portfolio and Non-Core comprising 14%, with the serviced by others (SBO) portfolio being the largest component (74%) of the Non-Core portfolio.
   
·
Citizens continues to focus on the 'footprint states' in New England, Mid Atlantic and Mid West targeting low risk products and maintaining conservative risk policies.  At 30 June 2011, the portfolio consisted of $31.8 billion (84% of the total portfolio) in these footprint states.
   
·
The current weighted average LTV of the residential real estate portfolio remained flat at 75.3% at 31 December 2010 and 30 June 2011.  The current weighted average LTV of the residential real estate portfolio excluding SBO is 70.0%.
   
·
The arrears rate decreased from 1.4% at 31 December 2010 to 1.2% at 30 June 2011. Delinquency rates have stabilised in recent months for both residential mortgages and home equity loans and lines.  Citizens participate in the US Government Home Modification Program alongside other bank-sponsored initiatives, which has helped customers.
   
·
The SBO portfolio consists of purchased pools of home equity loans and lines (96% second lien) with current LTV (108% at 30 June 2011) and geographic profiles (73% outside of Citizens footprint) resulting in an annualised charge-off rate of 9.7% in H1 2011.  The SBO book has been closed to new purchases since the third quarter of 2007 and is in run-off, with exposure down from $4.5 billion at 31 December 2010 to $4.0 billion at 30 June 2011. The arrears rate of the SBO portfolio has decreased from 2.7% at 31 December 2010 to 2.2% at 30 June 2011 due to more effective account servicing and collections.
 
 
 
 
 
* not reviewed


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Retail assets - Personal lending*
 
The Group's personal lending portfolio includes credit cards, unsecured loans, auto finance and overdrafts. The majority of personal lending exposures are in the UK and the US. New defaults as a proportion of average loans and advances are shown in the following table.
 
 
30 June 2011
 
31 December 2010
 
Average 
 loans and 
 receivables 
£m 
Impairment 
 charge 
 as a % of 
 loans and 
 receivables 
%
 
Average 
 loans and 
 receivables 
£m 
Impairment 
 charge 
as a % of 
loans and 
 receivables 
%
Personal lending
 
           
UK Retail cards (1)
5,719 
3.0 
 
6,025 
5.0 
UK Retail loans (1)
8,400 
2.4 
 
9,863 
4.8 
           
 
$m 
 
$m 
           
Citizens cards (2)
1,461 
5.8 
 
1,555 
9.9 
Citizens auto loans (2)
7,589 
0.1 
 
8,133 
0.6 
 
Notes:
(1)
The ratios for UK Retail assets refers to the impairment charges for the full year 2010 and annualised for June 2011.
(2)
The ratios for Citizens refers to charge-offs, net of recoveries realised in the period.
 
Key points
·
The UK personal lending portfolio, of which 98.1% is in Core businesses, comprises credit cards, unsecured loans and overdrafts and totalled £16.9 billion at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010 - £18.1 billion), a decrease of 6.6% due to continued subdued loan recruitment activity and a continuing general market trend of customers repaying unsecured loan balances, and with cards and current account balances remaining stable. The Non-Core portfolio consists of the direct finance loan portfolios (Direct Line, Lombard, Mint and Churchill), and totalled £0.3 billion at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010 - £0.4 billion).
   
·
Risk appetite continues to be actively managed across all products. Support continues for customers experiencing financial difficulties through "breathing space initiatives" on all unsecured products, whereby a thirty day period is given to allow customers to establish a debt repayment plan. During this time the Group suspends collection activity. A further extension of thirty days can be granted if progress is made and discussions are continuing. Investment in collection and recovery processes continues, addressing both continued support for the Group's customers and the management of impairments.
   
·
UK Retail benefited from a combination of risk appetite tightening and a more favourable economic environment, impairment losses on unsecured lending have reduced from £395 million in H2 2010 to £287 million in H1 2011 with underlying default trends having now broadly stabilised. Impairments will remain sensitive to the external environment.
   
·
Industry benchmarks for cards arrears remain stable, with the Group continuing to perform favourably.
   
·
Outstanding balances for the Citizens credit card portfolio totalled US$1.43 billion at 30 June 2011.  Core assets comprised 88% of the portfolio.
 
* not reviewed
 
 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core)
 
Overview
Ulster Bank Group accounts for 10.2% of the Group's total gross customer loans (31 March 2011 - 10.1%; 31 December 2010 - 9.9%) and 8.8% of the Group's Core gross customer loans (31 March 2011 - 9.0%; 31 December 2010 - 8.9%). The H1 2011 impairment charge was £2,540 million (H1 2010 - £1,722 million) with commercial real estate and mortgage sectors accounting for £1,860 million (73%) and £311 million (12%) of the total H1 2011 impairment charge respectively. The remainder of the impairment charge is attributable to the other corporate and personal unsecured portfolios. Provision coverage of REIL increased from 43.8% at 31 December 2010 to 51.4% at H1 2011.
 
The impairment charge of £1,246 million for Q2 2011 was £48 million lower than Q1 2011. There was a decrease in the value of loans defaulting and a moderation of mortgage credit loss metrics in the quarter, however, these were offset by deteriorating collateral values in our commercial real estate portfolios. Overall high unemployment coupled with higher taxation and less liquidity in the economy, continues to depress housing market confidence and consumer spending, which resulted in the elevated impairment charge in the portfolios during the quarter.
 
Core
The H1 2011 impairment charge was £730 million (H1 2010 - £499 million) with the mortgage sector accounting for £311 million (43%) of the total. Impairment losses for Q2 2011 were £269 million (Q1 2011 - £461 million) reflecting the difficult economic environment in Ireland with elevated default levels across both mortgage and other corporate non-property portfolios. High unemployment, lower incomes and increased taxation together with pressure on borrowers with a dependence on consumer spending have resulted in higher corporate and mortgage loan losses.
 
Ulster Bank Group is assisting customers in this difficult environment. Forbearance policies which are deployed through the 'Flex' initiative are aimed at assisting customers in financial difficulty.
 
Non-Core
The H1 2011 impairment charge was £1,810 million (H1 2010 - £1,223 million) with the commercial real estate sector accounting for £1,697 million (94%) of the total. The impairment charge increased from £833 million for Q1 2011 to £977 million for Q2 2011, primarily reflecting the deterioration in security values in the development property portfolio, particularly those projects which have very low expectation of being completed in the medium-term.
 

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)
 
Loans, REIL and impairments by sector
 
 
Gross 
 loans (1) 
REIL 
Provisions 
REIL 
as a % of 
gross 
 loans 
Provisions 
 as a % of 
 REIL 
Provisions 
 as a % of 
 gross loans 
 
H1 
Impairment 
charge 
H1 
Amounts 
 written-off 
30 June 2011
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                 
Core
               
Mortgages
21,778 
2,014 
769 
9.2 
38.2 
3.5 
311 
Personal unsecured
1,605 
201 
181 
12.5 
90.0 
11.3 
33 
15 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
4,338 
838 
331 
19.3 
39.5 
7.6 
115 
  - development
955 
241 
120 
25.2 
49.8 
12.6 
48 
Other corporate
8,699 
1,822 
1,000 
20.9 
54.9 
11.5 
223 
                 
 
37,375 
5,116 
2,401 
13.7 
46.9 
6.4 
730 
21 
                 
Non-Core
               
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
4,076 
2,662 
1,231 
65.3 
46.2 
30.2 
384 
  - development
9,002 
7,847 
4,367 
87.2 
55.7 
48.5 
1,313 
Other corporate
1,811 
1,226 
661 
67.7 
53.9 
36.5 
113 
                 
 
14,889 
11,735 
6,259 
78.8 
53.3 
42.0 
1,810 
                 
Ulster Bank Group
               
Mortgages
21,778 
2,014 
769 
9.2 
38.2 
3.5 
311 
Personal unsecured
1,605 
201 
181 
12.5 
90.0 
11.3 
33 
15 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
8,414 
3,500 
1,562 
41.6 
44.6 
18.6 
499 
  - development
9,957 
8,088 
4,487 
81.2 
55.5 
45.1 
1,361 
Other corporate
10,510 
3,048 
1,661 
29.0 
54.5 
15.8 
336 
                 
 
52,264 
16,851 
8,660 
32.2 
51.4 
16.6 
2,540 
23 
 
Note:
(1)
Funded loans.
 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)
 
Loans, REIL and impairments by sector (continued)
 
 
Gross 
 loans 
REIL 
Provisions 
REIL 
as a % of 
gross 
 loans 
Provisions 
 as a % of 
 REIL 
Provisions 
 as a % of 
 gross loans 
 
Q1 
Impairment 
charge 
Q1 
Amounts 
 written-off 
31 March 2011
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                 
Core
               
Mortgages
21,495 
1,780 
676 
8.3 
38.0 
3.1 
233 
Personal unsecured
1,499 
193 
164 
12.9 
85.0 
10.9 
11 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
4,272 
773 
282 
18.1 
36.5 
6.6 
73 
  - development
1,015 
210 
99 
20.7 
47.1 
9.8 
24 
Other corporate
8,886 
1,682 
890 
18.9 
52.9 
10.0 
120 
                 
 
37,167 
4,638 
2,111 
12.5 
45.5 
5.7 
461 
11 
                 
Non-Core
               
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
3,947 
2,449 
1,060 
62.0 
43.3 
26.9 
223 
  - development
8,881 
7,588 
3,524 
85.4 
46.4 
39.7 
503 
Other corporate
1,995 
1,186 
658 
59.4 
55.5 
33.0 
107 
                 
 
14,823 
11,223 
5,242 
75.7 
46.7 
35.4 
833 
                 
Ulster Bank Group
               
Mortgages
21,495 
1,780 
676 
8.3 
38.0 
3.1 
233 
Personal unsecured
1,499 
193 
164 
12.9 
85.0 
10.9 
11 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
8,219 
3,222 
1,342 
39.2 
41.7 
16.3 
296 
  - development
9,896 
7,798 
3,623 
78.8 
46.5 
36.6 
527 
Other corporate
10,881 
2,868 
1,548 
26.4 
54.0 
14.2 
227 
                 
 
51,990 
15,861 
7,353 
30.5 
46.4 
14.1 
1,294 
11 
 
 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)
 
Loans, REIL and impairments by sector (continued)
 
 
Gross 
 loans 
REIL 
Provisions 
REIL 
as a % of 
gross 
 loans 
Provisions 
 as a % of 
 REIL 
Provisions 
 as a % of 
 gross loans 
Q4 
Impairment 
charge 
Q4 
Amounts 
 written-off 
31 December 2010
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                 
Core
               
Mortgages
21,162 
1,566 
439 
7.4 
28.0 
2.1 
159 
Personal unsecured
1,282 
185 
158 
14.4 
85.4 
12.3 
13 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
4,284 
598 
332 
14.0 
55.5 
7.7 
79 
  - development
1,090 
65 
37 
6.0 
56.9 
3.4 
(10)
Other corporate
9,039 
1,205 
667 
13.3 
55.4 
7.4 
135 
                 
 
36,857 
3,619 
 1,633 
9.8 
45.1 
4.4 
376 
10 
                 
Non-Core
               
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
3,854 
2,391 
1,000 
62.0 
41.8 
25.9 
206 
  - development
8,760 
6,341 
2,783 
72.4 
43.9 
31.8 
596 
Other corporate
1,970 
 1,310 
561 
66.5 
42.8 
28.5 
(19)
                 
 
14,584 
 10,042 
 4,344 
68.9 
43.3 
29.8 
783 
                 
Ulster Bank Group
               
Mortgages
21,162 
1,566 
439 
7.4 
28.0 
2.1 
159 
Personal unsecured
1,282 
185 
158 
14.4 
85.4 
12.3 
13 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
8,138 
2,989 
1,332 
36.7 
44.6 
16.4 
285 
  - development
9,850 
6,406 
2,820 
65.0 
44.0 
28.6 
586 
Other corporate
11,009 
2,515 
1,228 
22.8 
48.8 
11.2 
116 
                 
 
51,441 
13,661 
5,977 
26.6 
43.8 
11.6 
1,159 
10 
 
Key points
·
The increase in REIL in H1 2011 reflects continuing difficult conditions in both the commercial and residential sectors in the Republic of Ireland. Of the REIL at 30 June 2011, 70% was in Non-Core (31 December 2010 - 74%).
   
·
Sequential quarter comparison shows Core impairment of £269 million down from £461 million in Q1 2011, reflecting a lower impairment charge on the mortgage portfolio in Q2 2011. Non-Core impairments in Q2 2011 were £977 million compared with £833 million in Q1 2011 as collateral values in the development property portfolio deteriorated.
   
·
The majority of the Non-Core development lending book (87%) is REIL with a 56% provision coverage.
   
·
Mortgages show REIL as a % of gross lending of 9.2% at 30 June 2011 compared with 8.3% at 31 March 2011 and 7.4% at 31 December 2010.
 


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)
 
Residential mortgages*
The table below shows how the continued decrease in property values has affected the distribution of residential mortgages by loan-to-value (LTV) (indexed). LTV is based upon gross loan amounts and, whilst including defaulted loans, does not take account of provisions made.
 
 
 
30 June 
2011 
31 March 
 2011 
31 December 
2010 
By average LTV (1)
       
<= 50%
35.1 
34.7 
35.9 
> 50% and <= 70%
13.0 
13.0 
13.5 
> 70% and <= 90%
13.0 
13.0 
13.5 
> 90%
38.9 
39.3 
37.1 
       
Total portfolio average LTV
74.5 
73.7 
71.2 
       
Average LTV on new originations during the period
65.0 
69.0 
75.9 
 
Note:
(1)
LTV averages calculated by transaction volume.
 
Key points*
·
The residential mortgage portfolio across Ulster Bank Group totalled £21.8 billion at 30 June 2011 - with 90% in the Republic of Ireland and 10% in Northern Ireland. At constant exchange rates, the portfolio remained at similar levels to 31 December 2010 (£22.0 billion) with little growth due to very low new business volumes.
   
·
The 90 days arrears rate (by volume) increased due to the continued challenging economic environment. At 30 June 2011, the arrears rate was 7.4% (by volume) compared with 6.0% at 31 December 2010 and 6.6% at 31 March 2011. The impairment charge for Q2 2011 was £78 million compared with £233 million for Q1 2011. Repossession levels are higher than 2010 but remain modest with a total of 98 properties in H1 2011 repossessed (76 for full year 2010). 78% of repossessions during H1 2011 were through voluntary surrender or abandonment of the property.
   
·
Ulster Bank Group has a number of initiatives in place aimed at increasing the level of support to customers experiencing temporary financial difficulties.
 
 
 
* not reviewed


 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk management: Credit risk: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)
 
Commercial real estate*
The commercial real estate lending portfolio in Ulster Bank Group increased marginally during the quarter to £18.4 billion at 30 June 2011, primarily due to exchange rate movements. The Non-Core portion of the portfolio totalled £13.1 billion (71% of the portfolio). Of the total Ulster Bank Group commercial real estate portfolio 25% relates to Northern Ireland, 63% to the Republic of Ireland and 12% to the rest of the UK.
 
 
Development
 
Investment
   
 
Commercial  
Residential 
 
Commercial 
Residential 
 
Total 
Exposure by geography
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
               
30 June 2011
             
Ireland (ROI & NI)
2,762 
6,701 
 
5,378 
1,210 
 
16,051 
UK (excluding Northern Ireland)
104 
358 
 
1,702 
112 
 
2,276 
RoW
28 
 
 
44 
               
 
2,870 
7,087 
 
7,088 
1,326 
 
18,371 
               
31 March 2011
             
Ireland (ROI & NI)
2,848 
6,556 
 
5,090 
1,143 
 
15,637 
UK (excluding Northern Ireland)
112 
362 
 
1,835 
129 
 
2,438 
RoW
18 
 
22 
 
40 
               
 
2,960 
6,936 
 
6,947 
1,272 
 
18,115 
               
31 December 2010
             
Ireland (ROI & NI)
2,785 
6,578 
 
5,072 
1,098 
 
15,533 
UK (excluding Northern Ireland)
110 
359 
 
1,831 
115 
 
2,415 
RoW
18 
 
22 
 
40 
               
 
2,895 
6,955 
 
6,925 
1,213 
 
17,988 
 
Note:
(1)
The above table does not include rate risk management or contingent obligations.
 
Key point*
·
Commercial real estate remains the primary driver of the increase in the defaulted loan book for Ulster Bank. The outlook remains challenging with limited liquidity in the marketplace to support re-financing. Ongoing reviews of the portfolio have led to a greater portion of the portfolio moving to specialised management in the Global Restructuring Group.
 
 
 
* not reviewed
 

 
 
Signatures


 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.





 
 
Date: 5 August 2011
 
 
THE ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP plc (Registrant)
 
 
 
By:
/s/ Jan Cargill
 
 
Name:
Title:
Jan Cargill
Deputy Secretary