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TIPS Bond Ishares ETF
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Gold: Understanding What’s Driving Prices Higher
March 07, 2022
The Russian/Ukraine crisis has been boosting inflation expectations. Remember, if oil prices are high then that increases inflation expectations.
Via
Talk Markets
Will Oil’s Spike Cause A Recession And Bear Market?
March 05, 2022
Learning from past supply disruptions. Also: Are bull/bear charts starting to roll over in the bear's favor?
Via
Talk Markets
February 2022 Performance Review - Major Asset Classes
March 01, 2022
Most markets around the world continued to slide in February, marking the second month of widespread losses in 2022 for the major asset classes.
Via
Talk Markets
SOTU x 2
March 01, 2022
Both the State of the Ukraine and the State of the Union will hold the attention of markets today, the first day of March 2022.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Drop On February 28 But The Real Risk Doesn’t Come Until Wednesday
February 28, 2022
Stocks finished the day lower, with the S&P 500 falling around 24 bps, certainly not the disaster that many analysts envisioned given the sanction the US and Europe put on Russia.
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation Outlook
February 23, 2022
US inflation remains elevated and appears on track to remain so for the immediate future.
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation Thoughts
February 19, 2022
The first part of this letter is going to be a general discussion around the concept of inflation and the second part will get into what you really want to know, which is the likely path of inflation...
Via
Talk Markets
Gold Defies Hawkish Rate Environment
February 03, 2022
Fed fund futures markets have sharply changed their outlook on Fed policy for 2022, pricing in four rate hikes in the next twelve months.
Via
Talk Markets
Markets Tested Risk-On Sentiment Last Week As War Rages Today
February 28, 2022
Markets tried to look through Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last week, but as the brutal reality of war becomes clearer, and economic blowback spreads across the global economy, sentiment will come...
Via
Talk Markets
The Stock Market Rally Is Not Likely To Last
February 25, 2022
Stocks have ripped higher since February 24 as real rates plunged sparking a massive short-covering rally. But it does not change the overarching problem, the Fed.
Via
Talk Markets
Real Yields Plunge On February 24, Sparking A Massive Short Covering Event
February 24, 2022
Days like today are impossible to understand, and the only thing one can do is try and put the pieces together.
Via
Talk Markets
Foreign Inflation-Indexed Bonds Led Global Markets Last Week
February 21, 2022
In a mixed week for performances of the major asset classes, inflation-indexed government bonds ex-US posted the strongest gain.
Via
Talk Markets
Russian Crisis To Bring Another Leg Down In Stocks?
February 19, 2022
Stocks are retesting the Jan. 24 lows. Are there any signs pointing to a successful retest? What are the latest developments on inflation?
Via
Talk Markets
Federal Reserve’s Own Inflation Expectations Surveys More Agree With EuroDollar Futures Inversion Than Rate Hikes
February 15, 2022
The FOMC is going to hike rates maybe even aggressively. There’s not much dispute on this assumption.
Via
Talk Markets
Commodities Continued Rising Last Week, Topping Global Markets
February 14, 2022
A broad measure of commodities continued rising last week, delivering the strongest performance by far for the major asset classes.
Via
Talk Markets
What the Bond Market is Saying About the Great Inflation Debate
February 09, 2022
So far, the financial markets are confident that the Fed will contain inflation in the future and are content with real interest rates well in negative territory.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Surge On February 8 But Are Still Deteriorating Beneath The Surface
February 08, 2022
The S&P 500 index really couldn’t get much beyond 4,520, which is now turning into a powerful level of resistance and has been that way since mid-last week.
Via
Talk Markets
Emerging Markets Led Last Week’s Rebound In Global Stocks
February 07, 2022
Shares in emerging markets rallied for the first time in three weeks, posting the best weekly performance for the major asset classes through Friday’s close.
Via
Talk Markets
9 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of Feb. 7
February 06, 2022
It won’t be a big week for economic data, but it will be an important one, with a 10-year auction on Feb. 9 and a CPI reading coming on Feb. 10 along with the 30-year auction. Forecasts saw the CPI...
Via
Talk Markets
Desperately Seeking Yield - Friday, Feb. 4
February 04, 2022
The inverse relationship between prices and yields, if not quite a blessing, is at least useful.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Tank Of February 3, Ahead Of What Is Likely To Be A Wild Friday
February 03, 2022
Stocks were hit hard today, with the Nasdaq falling by more than 4% and the S&P 500 dropping by almost 2.5%.
Via
Talk Markets
January 2022 Risk Profile Review - Major Asset Classes
February 03, 2022
After a stellar run higher, the Global Market Index’s risk-adjusted performance reversed in January, based on the trailing 3-year Sharpe ratio, a measure of return adjusted by volatility.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Rally Into The Close On February 1
February 01, 2022
TIP rates rose dramatically today after the ISM data. That is what made this day so frustrating.
Via
Talk Markets
Indexed Bond ETFs To Gain Assets and Liquidity
February 01, 2022
Lost in all the market volatility and concerns about interest rate hikes and inflation was a regulatory ruling with major implications for asset capture in the ETF industry.
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Stocks And Treasury TIPS Edged Up In Last Week’s Global Selloff
January 31, 2022
The trend for Vanguard Total US Stock Market still looks weak, but the ETF posted its first weekly gain of the year with a 0.5% increase.
Via
Talk Markets
Regulatory Ruling Is A Game Changer For ETF Industry
January 30, 2022
Lost in all the market volatility and concerns about interest rate hikes and inflation was a regulatory ruling that is destined to have a more lasting impact. I expect it to distance iShares and...
Via
Talk Markets
Commodities Continued Rising Last Week As Global Equities Fell
January 24, 2022
Most of the major asset classes posted losses last week. US shares suffered the biggest decline.
Via
Talk Markets
Bitcoin, VIX, And Expected Inflation
January 23, 2022
Yes, it looks like changes in bitcoin prices — particularly right now — are being driven by risk appetite as proxied by the VIX: over the past month, about 42% of the variation.
Via
Talk Markets
Consider These ETF Strategies To Tackle Hot Inflation Data
January 15, 2022
Certain companies with compromised pricing power may take a severe hit amid inflation and future earnings may also look less attractive amid high inflation levels. Against this backdrop, let’s take a...
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: Investors Turn Toward Financial/Banking Funds and ETFs for the Fund-Flows Week
January 14, 2022
Investors were overall net sellers of fund assets (including those of conventional funds and ETFs) for the first week in four, withdrawing a net $21.1 billion, the week ended January 12, 2022.
Via
Talk Markets
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